SocietyBench D
AI benchmark
- Tier
- D why
- Snapshot
What is SocietyBench?
SocietyBench measures whether language models can forecast how real social events unfold over time, using anonymized counterfactual timelines and scoring probability calibration and temporal accuracy.
General capability mostly
“A complementary social ability, namely how well a model understands and forecasts the way real social events unfold, has barely been measured.”
arxiv.org/abs/2608.04009v2 ↗
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2608.04009v2 ↗
Tier D
Long tail: little or no usage data yet.
How much stands behind a tier: usage, who backs it, a confirmed line from its own site or paper, and a clear read on X. High with three of the four, medium with two, low otherwise.
- 4 models scored
- fewer than 5 models scored
- in curated RL directories (1 pt)
How we got to tier D
- Adoption: 4 models scored; fewer than 5 models scored. Tier D.
- Not yet read on X.
- In curated RL directories: 1 point, a floor of none.
- Confirmed: a line from its own site or paper places it.
A clear view on X moves a tier one step up or down; most entries don't move. How tiers work.
Where SocietyBench sits
Its domain on the map, live. Hover a logo for its name; click to open it. Open it on the full map
Next: browse all benchmarks. Entry from the RL Research daily scrape of public sources, 2026-10-19 snapshot.